In this case, it is estimated that not many people dare to see more and do more. Including me. Because now is not a callback on the way up, but a big double head. Today is the node of time reversal. If you don't receive more than 4740 tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, then this wave of killing is estimated to reach 4000 points.
What can we do under such a dense air raid? All I know is that lying down is more likely to survive than running around, so I have to stay still. Whether holding shares or holding money.
What is the reason for such a hasty decline?
I'm thinking, besides the influence of market factors and external economy, there is another terrible reason.
China's biggest problem now is money. This money is not the money of ordinary people, but the money of the market.
How to resolve excess liquidity?
Raise interest rates and let money flow back to the bank? As a result, the money did not flow back to the bank, but attracted a lot of foreign capital.
Raise the deposit reserve ratio? Again, the collective enterprises will die of lack of money, and finally the economy will decline.
What should I do? Very simple, let the stock market toss and turn, isn't this money gone? Whether it's ordinary people or foreign countries. Anyway, the country only cares about the macro aspect. In this way, the securities market has become a ready-made treatment field and a natural reservoir of excess liquidity.
It seems that the big market in the future is the same as the monkey market. Because it only falls and does not rise, this reservoir has no water and is willing to come; Only up and down, the height of this pool is limited after all; Only when the ups and downs make you chase after the ups and downs can the water evaporate quickly.
It's just usually not a lot of money, including foreign ones. And this excess liquidity, governance in the end is the "liquidity" of the people, nothing left. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
But in that case, what's the hurry? Don't earn or sell, let it perform.
Now let's look at the space point and time generated by this adjustment from the perspective of technical analysis;
Based on the principle of trajectory fitting, the speed of falling from 5522 is very close to 530. We can use the trajectory from May 29th to June 5th as a sample, and find out that the adjustment bottom of the market is at 4336, which will take 7.64 days, that is, it will end at one o'clock tomorrow afternoon. That is, the market will enter a rebound cycle tomorrow afternoon. If Thursday can strongly cross the previous low point, that is, the 4778-4850 line, then the low point tomorrow afternoon will be the bottom of this adjustment.
(I think everyone is panicking now, so add a quantitative analysis to let everyone sleep well at night. )
Ronaldo
[I] The operation diary (65438+1October 23rd) will not be the lowest point.
The heavy volume slump will not be the lowest point.
The turnover dropped yesterday. You can continue to increase the volume today, and the bulls continue to fall. The bottom of the market has always been smashed by infinite yin. Today's heavy yin can't be the lowest point of this round of market. Theoretically, 4880 fell below a new low. This time, we saw the short-term turnover plummet. At least if you don't pump up today, the short-term anti-pumping is not far off. Friends who have never been out so far are waiting for a backlash. The stronger and higher the backwash, the weaker it is in the atmosphere.
One time bomb failed to detonate today, and that was the Bank of China, which was suspended. It is estimated that the subprime mortgage rumors in the market have also been dispelled. No matter how to refute the fact that it still holds less than $8 billion in subprime assets at the end of the third quarter of last year, Citigroup Merrill Lynch doesn't know who will detonate behind it, so can BOC escape this robbery? Difficult, China Bank's H share price is close to the listing issue price, so what will happen to A shares after the resumption of trading?
The short-term index will continue to fall, and the daily line that has not been cleared before will continue to go, and then consider the strategic layout after infinite gloom. Tactical speculative short-term positions should not exceed two levels, and resolutely go without making money and stop loss, and don't want to short. Now it is only to observe which varieties show various forms of anti-falling trends in the decline. Once the strategic layout opportunity appears, you can buy it boldly and wait patiently now.