A real estate platform data researcher said that although the domestic real estate development maintained a positive growth for seven months last year, its market still did not return to the situation of previous years. In the coming year, investment in real estate development may increase, and related house prices will also face a slight increase. Moreover, from a regional perspective, the real estate market is seriously divided, with obvious growth in the eastern region, mainly concentrated in hot-spot developed cities, and the central and northeastern regions are obviously depressed. Although the economy will pick up in the future, domestic hot cities, especially key urban agglomerations, are expected to become the main growth force of the real estate market, because the population in these areas continues to grow and the demand is strong. The motivation of second-and third-tier cities is obviously insufficient, the population size and economic development are far less than those of first-tier cities, and the future housing prices may further decline.
From the perspective of land supply, the land supply in first-tier cities was still relatively sufficient last year. Last year, Shanghai's land auction transaction volume exceeded 300 billion, making it the first city in the country to transfer land, especially the land in Shanghai's Xuhui Riverside District, which was sold at a high price of 30 billion, setting a historical record. In addition, Beijing, Shenzhen and other cities have also increased the intensity of land supply, but land transactions have also become divided. The local auction prices in second-and third-tier cities have continued to fall, and the transaction volume is not optimistic.
Facing the coming year, relevant experts said that housing prices in Beijing-Tianjin-Wing urban agglomeration may rise, including hot cities such as the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, and will continue to rise, but in some areas where purchasing power is overdrawn, housing prices may rise again. The future differentiation is becoming more and more serious, the risk of real estate speculation is getting higher and higher, and house prices may face greater fluctuations.