A mathematical problem about possibility

Mathematically speaking, the probability is the same.

Everyone can catch four situations by drawing lots.

Without anyone knowing what the first man caught.

It's all the same possibility

It's just that we are so selfish in real life.

I just always think that people who catch before themselves will catch better.

It's actually the same.

As you can imagine, there are only 12 numbers.

Let you two choose.

Isn't the probability all 1/2?

Of course, if you already know what the first person catches, let the second person catch it.

The odds will change again.