I believe that the audience who have watched these programs know that the players who reached the final stage are also very strong, which can be said to be equivalent in strength. And the person who can win the championship in the end often feels a little different from the player who is considered the best in the end. But in the eyes of the audience, the players who think they are the strongest are often a little behind in the order of appearance, and the audience often only pays attention to who will win the championship in the end, and will not care about the order of appearance. In fact, the final result of the game is really related to the order of the players in the ultimate arena, and the players with low appearance order have a higher probability of winning the championship.
According to the Daily Telegraph, Dr. Wandi Bruen of Carnegie Mellon University in the United States, who is devoted to the study of "Society and Classification", made a detailed investigation and study of various large-scale competitions in the past 50 years, especially the European Music Competition from 1957 to 2003 and the World or European Figure Skating Championships from 1994 to 2000. Bruen found that in European music competitions, the chances of the last player winning were twice as high as that of the first player. Usually the first player wins only 6%, and the last player wins 13%. Similarly, in the first round of the figure skating championship, even if the sequence of players' appearances is random and the result is dramatic, the winning probability of the player who finally appears is 14%. The first player is only 3%.
Bruen's research shows that the earlier a player enters the competition, the lower the probability of winning. This phenomenon will seriously affect the performance of players. People only care about which player wins the championship in the end, but seldom pay attention to the influence of the order of appearance on their final performance. Bruen also pointed out that although different competitions have different judging methods, the players who come out later will also have stronger psychological factors to give full play to themselves. After seeing the performance of the previous players, it is easier to inspire their determination and confidence to beat each other.
For each of us, among the different people we meet in life, if some people change their appearance order in the course of your life, do you think your life script may need to be rewritten? For example, if you meet someone who is very important to you in your life at the age of 20, and you change the scene until you are 30 or 40, you will definitely feel completely different, which will affect your life direction. For some people, after being together for many years, the person who can only go their separate ways and accompany you to the old age may not be the one you once thought was the most important. At the age of 20, you once fell in love with each other vigorously, thinking that each other was the only thrill for you. Later, because that person could not understand your whimsy, your persistence, giving up, forbearing and waiting, he missed it. When you are in your thirties and forties, when you meet someone you loved so much at the age of 20, you may die if you leave him or her. Suddenly, you find that after the baptism of time, you have changed too much, and you can never return to the feeling of the past. The same person appears in different stages of your life, but your feelings are completely different, and the impact on your life is completely different.
Let's turn our attention to the business field. Those enterprises whose emerging industries later developed into industry giants were often not the first to enter the market. In emerging industries, many enterprises that first entered the market fell down and became martyrs before they had a chance to know who they were. In the same industry, the order of different enterprises entering the market has a far-reaching impact on the development and growth of enterprises in this industry. We all know that the brand Tesla is now the global leader in the field of new energy vehicles, and Tesla is not the first enterprise to enter this field. When Tesla chose to be a new energy vehicle, many car companies tried it and all ended in failure. When Tesla chose to do this industry, the industry was not in the stage of great development, but in a period of near high-speed growth. At this stage, the industry dividend has not yet broken out. After the rapid development of 10 years, most car companies in the world, including those in other industries, have also entered this field, and Tesla has now become a leading enterprise in this field.
For us ordinary people, in the course of life, we should spend more time thinking before making a decision on career investment, and then decide to join a new industry with development potential. To this end, we can consider from several aspects:
1. This industry is a new industry, but it has not experienced a big development stage and is close to the explosive stage of rapid growth;
2. This industry will be a fast-growing industry: sustainable growth 10-20 years;
3. This industry can spread and replicate like a virus;
4. The demand must be obvious, preferably new demand that is just needed or has not been tapped;
I also have some knowledge about this new industry.
The order in which everyone and everything appear in our lives is really important.