How to evaluate the top national football team 12, and what is the probability of entering the World Cup?

According to the regulations, 12 team is divided into two groups, with 6 teams in each group. The top two in each group will advance directly to the World Cup in Russia, and the third place will play off. The winner will play off with the fourth place in Central and North America, and the winner will advance to the World Cup finals.

Although the group draw for the 12 competition hasn't come out yet, the schedule has long been determined. According to the schedule of AFC, the 12 top-level event will be held on September 20th 1 6th, and the second round will be held on September 6th. 65438+1October 6th, 1 1, the third and fourth rounds of the 12 tournament will be played. The fifth round 165438+ 10/5 is the last round of 20 16.

On March 23rd and 28th, 20 17, the 12 Top Tournament will enter the 6th and 7th rounds. There will be a round of 12 competition in June, August and September next year, and all competitions will end on September 5, 20 17. In addition, the AFC has determined the time of the intercontinental play-offs: 20 17, 10, 5, 10, 10.

If 12 is not the first and second in the group, then you have to participate in two rounds of play-offs. The probability of entering the World Cup is extremely low.