There are three main signals for board startup:
1. Looking at the growth list, if the proportion of stocks in a certain sector in the top 20 of the growth list exceeds 1\3, and this situation has occurred for some time, it can be preliminarily concluded that the sector is starting.
2. Looking at the trading volume, if the number of stocks in a certain sector accounts for more than 1 \ 3 of the top 20 trading volume, and this situation has appeared for a period of time, it proves that the sector has the main funds and it is very likely to continue to rise.
3. Look at the trend. Choose 5-8 representative stocks from high-priced, medium-priced and low-priced stocks and compare their trends. If the number of stocks in one sector is stronger than the other two sectors, then this sector is the entrepreneurial sector we are looking for.
Signs of a sector decline are as follows:
1. Looking at the increase, if the number of stocks in a certain sector is less than 1\4 of the total in the top 20 of the increase list, and it shows a decreasing trend, then we should be wary that the sector has little room for growth or has risen to the designated position;
2. Looking at the trading volume, if the number of stocks in a certain sector is less than 1\4 of the total in the top 20 trading volumes, and there is a decreasing trend, it can be proved that the sector is about to enter the consolidation state;
3. Looking at the upside, generally speaking, the main force must have at least 50% upside from opening positions to distribution. If in a large-scale bull market, after a certain sector is started, the increase is not less than 50%, it can be regarded as a low-risk investment zone; An increase of 50-80% can be regarded as a venture capital zone; If the increase exceeds 80%, it can be regarded as a high-risk speculative zone. When the stock price of a certain sector enters the venture capital zone or high-risk speculation zone, we should be alert to the lack of upward momentum of the sector. If there is stagflation, we should realize that the plate has risen to the designated position.
Six laws of A-share market that must be known
1, law of inertia
The principle of Newton's law of inertia is the same. The characteristic that an object keeps its motion state and direction unchanged is called inertia. In the stock market, the stock price is rising, so if there is no big change, the stock price will continue to go up; The stock price is falling. If there is no big change, the stock price will continue to go down. This is because when the stock price trend goes up, most people are optimistic about the market outlook, so those who buy are reluctant to sell, and those who don't buy are rushing to buy, which makes the stock in short supply and naturally should rise; On the contrary, when the trend goes down, most people are not optimistic about the market outlook, so those who buy are rushing to sell, and those who don't buy are afraid to buy, which makes the stock supply exceed demand and naturally continues to fall.
2. extremes meet.
If it rises much, it will naturally fall; If it falls much, it will naturally rise. This is the same as what the Romance of the Three Kingdoms said at the beginning: long-term separation must be combined, and long-term separation must be combined. I believe everyone knows the usage of KDJ indicator. One of the important functions of KDJ indicator is overbought and oversold. Overbuying means that people were very popular at that time. Does that mean you can buy it? Of course not, overbought is often the time to sell; On the contrary, oversold is often the time to buy. A phenomenon in the stock market also fully embodies this principle-risks are rising and opportunities are falling out.
3. The wind and water turn around
We are not sure that overseas stock markets other than A-shares are not like this, but what is certain is that the A-share market has always turned around. A big market often has four stages, namely: (1) a few sectors or stocks start; (2) the market has entered a general increase; (3) stocks that have not yet risen have generally risen; (4) Leading sectors or individual stocks began to adjust in the early stage; (5) the market entered a general decline; (6) All other stocks fell. Therefore, in the A-share market, you can't catch the leader in advance, but you can catch up with the stock in hindsight and get good returns. You can't worry. When you are in a hurry, you will often let yourself chase the leading stocks that are about to fall, and miss the compensatory stocks that are ready to go. According to Christians, God is fair.
4. Oppose the public
Old investors who are good at observing know such a rule, that is, when most people in the market are optimistic, the market may not necessarily rise;
On the contrary, when most people in the market are bearish, the market may not necessarily fall. Why on earth is this? Technical analysis enthusiasts have always claimed that the market is always right; Fundamental analysis enthusiasts have always believed that the market is always wrong; Proponents of portfolio theory believe that the market is sometimes right and sometimes wrong. The same analysis of the stock market draws three completely different conclusions, which fully proves the uncertainty of the market.
5, periodic vibration * * *
This rule is very interesting. When the daily trend is upward, if the weekly trend is upward, then the short-term trend will be quite strong; If the daily trend is upward and the weekly trend is downward, then the market will only rebound slightly. What is the principle? This is because, when the weekly trend is upward, the market or individual stocks have gathered high popularity, and the market supply and demand are in short supply, so it will be easier for the daily line to rise; On the contrary, if the weekly trend is downward, from the medium and long-term trend, it shows that the popularity is bleak. Then, even if someone rushes to buy in the short term and makes the short-term trend stronger, if the long-term supply and demand relationship cannot be changed, the market will continue to decline. Similarly, we can draw the conclusion that the daily trend is downward, the weekly trend is upward, the daily trend is downward and the weekly trend is upward. To sum up, we can pay attention to the following two points: First, the daily line goes up and the weekly line goes up; Second, the daily line goes down and the weekly line goes up. There are two other forms that we should abandon: first, the daily line goes up and the weekly line goes down; Second, the daily line fell and the weekly line fell.
6, the intersection of static and dynamic
There are no stocks that have been rising, and there are no stocks that have been falling. After a stock has risen for a certain period of time, it always takes a little time to adjust, so as to wash out weak-willed retail investors and give yourself enough time to switch positions; After a stock has fallen for a certain period of time, it always takes a little time to move sideways and let greedy retail investors take over for themselves. In fact, this is the same as our running, running all the time and finally running directly to the coffin; It is not impossible to travel all over the world as long as there is food, sleep and a place to solve internal emergencies. The stock market is actually the same.
Influence of different economic cycles on plate rotation
In the stage of economic recovery, energy, finance and optional consumption performed well; The worst performers are information technology, health care and public utilities. The poor performance of telecom services and information technology sectors in the recovery stage is related to the weak representation of science and technology sectors in China. Electronic enterprises pay more attention to processing and manufacturing, relying on order production rather than design and research.
In the expansion stage, energy, materials and finance performed well; The worst performers are information technology, public utilities and telecommunications services.
The financial sector still performed well in the expansion stage, but the performance of the financial sector in the two expansion periods was contradictory. In the first expansion period from 2002 to 2004, the financial sector ranked last, while in the second expansion period from 2006 to 2007, the financial sector performed the best, and the increase was huge, which played a great role in pulling the final performance. The performance law of the financial sector needs more regular tests.
In the stagflation stage, telecommunications services, daily consumption and medical care performed well; The worst performers are information technology, energy and finance.
In the contraction stage, health care, public utilities and daily consumption performed well; The poor performers are energy, finance and materials.