Two bold predictions on the course of the Russian-Ukrainian war

Two bold predictions on the course of the Russian-Ukrainian war;

1. Russia's goal in the Russian-Ukrainian war will eventually become: defending Crimea.

2. Russia's strategy of using nuclear weapons (whether it is a nuclear threat or really throwing tactical nuclear weapons), if it scares the United States, Russia can save Crimea. If you can't scare the United States, Russia has to "return" Crimea to Ukraine-it was taken back by Ukraine!

what do you think?