1. If Italy wins France, Netherlands wins Romania, Netherlands 9 points, Italy 4 points, Romania 2 points, France 1 point, Netherlands and Italy qualify;
2. If Italy wins France, the Netherlands draws Romania, the Netherlands scores 7 points, Italy scores 4 points, Romania scores 3 points, France 1 point, and the Netherlands and Italy qualify;
3. If Italy wins France and the Netherlands loses to Romania, then the Netherlands scores 6 points, Romania scores 5 points, Italy scores 4 points, France 1 point, and the Netherlands and Romania qualify.
If Italy loses to France, then Italy will definitely be out. France's qualifying situation is the same as that of Italy mentioned above. The Netherlands lost to Romania, France qualified, the Netherlands lost to Romania, and France and Italy were out at the same time.
To make matters more complicated, if Italy draws with France, although both teams only have 2 points, we still need to see the result of another game.
1. If Italy and France draw, Holland and Romania draw or lose, both Italy and France are out.
2. If Italy draws with France and the Netherlands wins with Romania, it will result in a situation that the three teams will score 2 points each other and all will be tied. Three teams are needed to compare the goal difference and the number of goals scored. In this case, it is necessary to compare the mutual achievements of the "small circle" formed by Italy, France and Romania. In this case:
The French team is definitely out, because the number of goals scored by the French team is always one less than that of Italy; Between Italy and Romania, it is necessary to compare the number of goals. Italy 1- 1 or draw with France 1 or above, and Italy will advance. If Italy and France draw 0-0, then compare the goal difference between the two teams in the group. If Romania loses to the Netherlands by more than 4 goals, then Italy will qualify. If Romania concedes one or two goals, then Romania will qualify. For example, Romania lost 0-3 and Romania lost 0-3, so the two teams could not have a penalty shootout. According to the latest rules, Italy will qualify better with the points of World Cup qualifiers and European Cup qualifiers. For example, Romania lost three goals to the Netherlands but scored goals, such as 1-4, 2-5, which will also overwhelm Italy with the goal advantage.
Judging from the current situation, it is possible for this group to qualify "a team will score two points to qualify". After the Netherlands defeated France, Italy's fate was no longer in its own hands, because once the Netherlands lost, Italy would definitely be out. Four years ago, Italy was eliminated because of the tacit understanding between Sweden and Denmark. Will this scene repeat itself in four years?