Why not look at Germany?

The goalkeeper was originally the safest position for Germany, but Loew was still worried about it at the last minute after Cohen committed suicide and Adler was injured. Now, Schalke 04 goalkeeper Neuer has been identified as the No.1 goalkeeper, and Weize and Bout are the No.2 and No.3 goalkeepers respectively. The biggest problem in this position is that the three-person national team has few appearances and lacks competition experience.

On the defensive line, Ram, Merseyside Dessack and George W. boateng are all popular candidates. Ram and Tesak are the best full-backs and central defenders in the Bundesliga. Recently, J boateng frequently appeared on the German team's right, and Loew hoped that he could solve the chronic problem on the side. Among other candidates, A Friedrich is a veteran who has participated in many competitions, and Tazi and Jansen have also been selected for the national team many times. Only badstubber and Ogo are newcomers. The former can play centre-back and left-back, while the latter is used to playing left. In the warm-up match against Malta, Ogo also played quite well.

In midfield, the injuries of Ballack and Tresch made Germany's already insufficient midfield "worse". However, the stubborn Loew has no intention of recruiting players from China again. In the World Cup, "Piglets" Weinsteiger and Khedira will be the first choice midfielders. Not surprisingly, the burden of the attack organizer will fall on young Ozil. As for the two-wing candidate, from the arrangement of the warm-up match, the left central defender is still the first choice. With the outstanding performance against Hungary, Marin may also rise suddenly and occupy this position.

On the front line, the competition will be fierce because Germany is likely to send only a single striker. However, according to Loew's employment habits, top scorer Klose will still occupy the main position despite his poor performance in Bayern. Judging from the performance of the warm-up match, Ka Kao scored three goals in two games and was in the best condition, ranking first in the substitute sequence. Gomez also broke the goal shortage in the game against Hungary. Only kiessling is in the most embarrassing position. Although he is the best German striker in the Bundesliga this season, he has made no achievements in the national team. Podolski and Muller, who are mainly midfielders, actually don't participate in the battle of strikers.

Looking at the whole list, it is not difficult to find that the lack of competition experience is a drawback of this German team. Among the 23 people, as many as 13 people played less than 10. The most ridiculous thing is that the three goalkeepers only played nine games together. However, there are no suitable candidates in the existing candidate list. Therefore, he can only focus on the players who exercise more in club competitions, especially Bayern players.

Attachment: List of 23 Germans

Goalkeepers: Neuer (Schalke 04), Weijser (Werder Bremen) and Bout (Bayern Munich).

Defenders: Ogo (Hamburg), Bud Stuber (Bayern Munich), J boateng (Hamburg), A Friedrich (Hertha Berlin), Jensen (Hamburg), Ram (Bayern Munich), Mel Tesak (Werder Bremen) and Tasi (Stuttgart).

Midfielders: Khedira (Stuttgart), Cross (Leverkusen), Marin (Werder Bremen), Ozil (Werder Bremen), SchWeins Tiger (Bayern Munich) and TeRohovsky (Hamburg).

Forward: Ka Kao (Stuttgart), Gomez (Bayern Munich), kiessling (Leverkusen), Klose (Bayern Munich), Mueller (Bayern Munich) and Podolski (Cologne).

Estimated tactics: 4-2-3- 1

After the 2006 World Cup, Germany's regular lineup was generally 442, but at the end of the preliminaries, considering the serious defects in defense and the lack of creativity in midfield, Loew began to change the lineup to 4-2-3- 1, which was adopted in the preliminaries against Russia and the heavyweight warm-up match against Argentina.

On the defensive line, Mertesacker and A Friedrich are central defenders, and Ram and J boateng are most likely to be divided on both sides. In midfield, Khedira and Tiger wiens form a pair of midfielders, and the former will have more energy on defense. Offensively, Ozil will shoulder the task of transporting artillery shells. Moreover, he is also responsible for connecting the two wings in series to make the German team's attack more hierarchical. There's a good chance that Podolski and Thomas Muller will be divided on the left and right wings. The two men have good impact and strong scoring ability, which can make up for the lack of attack power of single striker.

On the front line, Klose, who has scored 48 goals for the national team, is still the number one candidate. In previous competitions, he performed well as a single arrow many times. He not only has a strong ability to seize opportunities, but also runs actively and is closely linked with the midfield, further improving the offensive efficiency.

With the current staffing of the German team, the 4-2-3- 1 formation is a realistic choice, which can not only enhance the defensive thickness, reduce the pressure on the defense line, but also make full use of the number advantage of the midfield. This formation became more necessary when Ballack was injured and his defensive ability in midfield declined.

The expected main players of the German team are11(4-2-3-1): Neuer/Ram, Motsack, A Friedrich, J boateng/Shi Weins Tiger, Khedira/Thomas Muller, Ozil, Podolski/Klose.

Core stellar memory

After Ballack missed South Africa due to injury, the German team once fell into a leaderless situation. As coach Loew handed the captain's armband to defender Ram, the new core of the German team was established. Although Ram is not tall, his voice is always loud. Judging from past experience, he is ready to be the team leader.

Ram, 26, started his career at Bayern Youth Training Camp. During his loan to Stuttgart in 2003-2005, he grew into an excellent left-back. During this period, I also participated in the 20-year-old European Championship in 2004. After returning to Bayern in the summer of 2005, he has been an unshakable main player of the Bundesliga giants, and even Barcelona, the "six-time champion", has thrown an olive branch to him. Ram scored the first goal in the last World Cup against Costa Rica. Finally, he was chosen as the best team in the 2006 World Cup. He scored the winning goal at the last minute in the semi-final between Germany and Turkey in the 2008 European Championship, sending Germany to the final.

This season, Ram's career has reached a new peak. After playing right-back, he helped Bayern win two championships and one Asia in the third-line battle. It is worth mentioning that whether it is the 10 preliminaries or Bayern's third-line battle, Ram played all the games, making him an iron man. From the technical style, Ram is fast and technically excellent. The only defect is the lack of defensive ability, but in most cases, he can often suppress his opponent by attacking. The current German team, due to considerable personnel changes, the attack routine is still in the process of running-in. In contrast, Ram's wing assists have taken shape, which is one of the most reliable offensive ways, showing his importance.

Although Ram is young, he has a strong sense of responsibility. In Bayern, he is the second captain after Van Bommel. In the middle of the season, he even dared to stand up and fight with the board of directors because of the team's poor record. In Germany, he is also regarded as one of the captain's successors after Ballack. Now, in the case of Ballack's injury, Ram has taken over the important task of captain. If he realizes his wish, he will lead the German team to a higher goal.

In the world football, 50-year-old Loew's coaching experience is not outstanding. When he coached the club, his record was only one German Cup champion and one European Cup Winners' Cup runner-up, but this did not hinder his "career" in the German team. In the 2006 World Cup, as Klinsmann's assistant, he led the team to win the third place at home. Later, he took over the German team. Euro 2008, one.

In this World Cup preliminaries, Germany and Russia were grouped together. In the contest with the famous Dutch coach Hiddink, Loew gained the upper hand, and both direct dialogues ended in victory. Especially in the decisive battle in Moscow, Germany 1-0 defeated Russia, ensured the first round of the group ahead of schedule and successfully entered the final. Throughout the qualifying stage, the German team remained unbeaten with 8 wins and 2 draws, and Loew's strategic contribution was not small, especially at the critical moment, he reused the new star Ozil and played a miraculous role.

After the 2002 World Cup, Germany, which was at a low point, had to rely on the simple tactics of crossing its wings. In 2004, after Klinsmann took office, he carried out a substantial tactical reform in Germany, from ground attack to play, which was closer to the technical flow. In fact, Loew was the leader of tactical reform at that time. After Loew personally became the head coach, he strengthened the road of tactical reform for Germany. In the quarterfinals of the 2008 European Championship,

However, compared with pre-match arrangement and on-the-spot command, Loew still has some shortcomings. In the team, his dependence on experience is also better than his state, such as Klose and Podolski, whose league state has been poor this season, and he still relies on it. This practice is undoubtedly a "double-edged sword". In the previous two World Cups, Germany reached the semi-finals and won the runner-up. People have high expectations for the performance of the German team, and it is also a great pressure for Loew. It depends on whether he can survive then.

Prospect of this World Cup

In the past two World Cups, Germany won the second and third place respectively. In the World Cup held outside Europe, they won the second place twice. Therefore, this time they went to South Africa, and the German team was also highly anticipated. However, the first thing they have to cross is the group stage.

At present, they have been assigned to Group D, and their opponents in the same group are Ghana, Serbia and Australia. After the draw ceremony, it was widely believed that Germany would win the first place in the group. Judging from the historical record, Germany has also maintained a record of winning all three games, but with their current staffing and status, it is not easy to qualify easily.

Germany will face Australia in the first match of the group stage. Most players of Kangaroo Corps play in Europe. In the last World Cup, they almost cornered Italy, which won the championship later. In terms of playing style, Australia is tough and closer to the British style, which is relatively the type of team that Germany likes. This game against Serbia and Germany will face severe challenges. Since 1994 lost to Bulgaria in the World Cup, Germany has suffered many defeats in the face of Eastern European teams with superb skills and no physical disadvantages. 198 world cup, they beat the former yugoslavia 2-2 and were defeated by Croatia 3-0 in the final of14. In the 2008 European Championship, they lost to Croatia again in the group match with 1-2. In the last battle, Germany played Ghana. In the past, Germany's rigor and tenacity were the bane of unstable African teams, but with the blessing of half the home court, Ghana was not a good bone.

Of course, in terms of strength, Germany is better than the three rivals in terms of staffing and organizational ability. Although the group will encounter twists and turns, it is not a big problem to enter the knockout stage. The worst thing for the next road is to meet England in advance in the eighth finals. Even if they avoid England, they may meet strong opponents like Argentina and France in the quarter-finals. Next is Spain, Brazil, the Netherlands or Italy. Therefore, for the German team, the World Cup in South Africa is much more difficult than at home. With its strong strength and fine tradition, it is very promising to occupy a place in the top eight. However, if you want to enter the quarter-finals or even the finals, you still have to look at their state, especially the quality of defense.

Among the active strikers in Germany, Kuranyi, 28, has scored 1 1 in the Bundesliga, second only to Klose who scored 120. But in the national team, Kuranyi's experience is far less smooth than the latter, although he was selected for the German team in 2003 and participated in the European Championships in Portugal in 2004 and in 2008. There was also a goal of 19 in the 5 1 match, but compared with Klose, Podolski and Gomez, he was always at a disadvantage, which made Kuranyi somewhat unbalanced, which also laid a hidden danger for him to be expelled from the national team by coach Loew in the future.

June 65438+10/October 65438+February 2008, Germany vs. Russia, Kuranyi failed to make the 18 roster. As a result, he watched the game in the stands for half a day, then left without saying goodbye and drove home at half time, which made Loew furious and said that he would be expelled from the national team "forever". Since then, Kuranyi has never been called up by the national team. Klose and Podolski have not performed well in their respective clubs this season, while Kuranyi has played well in the league. At this point, the league scored 18 goals and tied for the third place in the top scorer list. In this case, famous football players, including "soccer emperors" beckenbauer and Finberg, pleaded for him, hoping that Loew would change his mind and take him to South Africa.

Under the pressure of public opinion, Loew had to reconsider this issue, but in the end, he announced that he would give up Kuranyi on May 3, and in the last four rounds of the league, Kuranyi failed to score a goal, which made him miss the opportunity to score points for himself at the last minute. According to this trend, if Kuranyi wants to return to the national team, I am afraid he will have to wait until Loew leaves office.

There are many new stars in the Bundesliga this season, such as Thomas Muller, Tony Cross, Pasteur and others. However, in the World Cup, the star most likely to be valued by coach Loew is Ozil, the core midfielder of Bremen. Last summer, 2 1 year-old Ozil led the German team u2 1 to win the European Youth Championship. In Germany, Loew. He made his first start for Germany and scored a goal. He also assisted Klose to score the winning goal in the preliminaries against Russia. Although the national team has only eight games of experience, he has been regarded as a German midfielder. What's even more rare is that although Ozil is young, he doesn't get stage fright in the national team competition, he can play his own level and become more and more tacit with his teammates. This is where Ozil has more advantages than Mill, Cross and other peers.

After Diego, Ozil has become the core of Bremen. Although the middle of the season fell into a trough because of the interference of renewal, he scored 2 goals and 6 assists in the last 6 league games. He helped Werder Bremen win 2-0 in the key battle against Schalke 04 in the last round. According to Kicker's statistics, he scored 9 points in the first 33 rounds. He also contributed seven assists in the Europa League. With the strong recovery at the end of the season, people have reason to believe that Ozil will bring new surprises in South Africa.