Early this morning, Group C of the European Cup ended the second round. In the Focus Campaign, the Dutch team unexpectedly defeated the French team 4-/kloc-0, and reached the quarter-finals in advance as the first in the group. The remaining three teams, France, Italy and Romania, will compete for another qualifying spot in the group. Interestingly, although the Dutch team has finished the task of being the first in the group ahead of schedule, they will decide the ownership of another qualifying spot in the group.
The death group is really puzzling. Except for the Netherlands, which locked the first place in the group in advance, the other three teams all have the opportunity to qualify. At present, the points in Group C are as follows, and the Netherlands ranks first with 6 points. Romania ranked second in the group with 2 points, while France and Italy scored 1 point. Because the two teams have the same goal difference, goals and goals, they are tied for third place. The last round of the group, 1, Netherlands VS Romania, France VS Italy!
The final round of the group is of no practical significance to the Netherlands, so Van Basten is likely to provide a substitute lineup against Romania. In this way, Romania got an opportunity. This means that if Romania wins the match against the Netherlands, France and Italy will rank second in the group regardless of their record. And if the Netherlands draws with Romania, Romania's score will become 3 points. As long as France and Italy draw, Romania will qualify. Therefore, Romania currently has the initiative.
Once Romania loses to the Netherlands in the final round of the group, their points will still be 2 points, which means that the winner of the French-Italian war will qualify for the second place in the group. And if France and Italy draw, the situation will become quite complicated, because Romania, France and Italy will all get 2 points!
According to UEFA's rules, if the three teams have the same points, there will be no penalty shootout, but the ranking will still be determined by UEFA's usual method, that is, first look at the points played, the goal difference played and the number of goals played, and then look at the goal difference and the number of goals scored in all the group matches. Prior to this, Italy 1- 1 drew Romania and France drew Romania 0-0. The following is a specific analysis:
1. If France draws 0-0, the points and goal difference of the three teams will be the same. However, France played against 0 goals, Romania and Italy were both 1. As a result, France was eliminated, leaving only Italy and Romania Italy's goal difference is -3. As long as Romania can lose to the Netherlands by less than 0-3 or 3 goals, Romania will qualify. And if Romania concedes more than 4 goals, Italy will qualify. If Romania loses 3-0 to the Netherlands, it will compare the points of Italy and Romania in this European Cup qualifier and the 2006 World Cup qualifier. Obviously, Italy is dominant, so in this case, Italy qualified!
2. If there is a goal draw between France and Italy (such as 1- 1 draw or 2-2 draw ...), the scores of the three teams are the same as the goal difference. However, Italy will surpass France and Romania in scoring goals against each other. So Italy will get the right to qualify.
Overall, the qualifying situation of Group C is quite chaotic. Romania occupies the most favorable position in qualifying, while France is the most unfavorable. In other words, the 2006 World Cup champion and runner-up are very likely to be eliminated by the Dutch team in the final round!