The probability of rolling dice

1. The way to get the expected value is n:

First, construct the following random variables respectively:

Answer: When the number of dice is A, then E(A)=3.5.

B: Throw a dice, ignore 4, 5 and 6 in the result, and count its points (if it is 4, 5 and 6, it will be discarded and thrown again, and the next one will play.

Same), then E(B)=2.

C: Dice, ignore 1, 2,3 in the result and count its points, then E(C)=5.

D: Throw the dice, ignore 6 in the result and count its points, then E(D)=3.

E: Dice, ignore 1 in the result and count its points, then E(E)=4.

Then, start solving:

I) Let's first discuss the case where n is 1 to 6.

When N=2, 3, 4, 5, just take the random numbers b, d, e and c directly.

When N= 1, we only need to construct the random number e-d.

//Proof: E(E-D)=E(E)-E(D)= 1.

/* Description: You can actually roll dice. If you only take the result of 1, you would expect it to be 1, but the result is

A constant with zero variance is meaningless.

E-D means: roll the dice twice, the first time ignoring 6 in the result, and the second time ignoring 1 in the result.

Subtract the random number obtained by remembering the points twice. */

Similarly, when N=6, a random number 2D is constructed.

Ii) Let's discuss all integer sets N*

For a given integer N=N0 belongs to N*, divide by 7 to get the quotient p and the remainder q, then q is between 1 and 6.

Now construct a random number: 2p*A+T, where t is the random number corresponding to the expected q. Then e (2p * a+t) = 2p * e.

(A)+E(T)=7p+q=N0, which is the expected value.

/* For example: N= 134, it is134 =19 * 7+1.

Then the random number constructed is: 38*A+E-D, that is, roll the dice 38 times first and remember the sum; Then throw it twice, the first time suddenly.

Omit 1 in the result, ignore 6 in the result for the second time, subtract the points remembered twice, record the difference, and sum with the difference phase.

Just add (outline) */

2. About the solution of reference questions (please read the relevant teaching materials first)

1) note that the values of the four dice are w, x, y, z, M=min(W, x, y, z), then w, x, y, z, m.

They are all random numbers.

The result is A=(W+X+Y+Z-M)/3, which is a random number. Now find its expectation.

Yi Zhi E(W)=E(X)=E(Y)=E(Z)=3.5, and the distribution function of w is

FW(w)={

0,w & lt 1

1/6, 1 & lt; = w & lt2

2/6,2 & lt; = w< three

3/6,3 & lt; = w< four

4/6,4 & lt; = w< five

5/6,5 & lt; = w< six

1,w & gt=6

}

According to the related properties, FM (m) =1-[1-fw (m)] 4.

Get FM(m)={

0,m & lt 1

67 1/ 1296, 1 & lt; = m & lt2

65/8 1,2 & lt; = m< three

15/ 16,<= m< four

80/8 1,4 & lt; = m< five

1295/ 1296,<= m< six

1,w & gt=6

}

Then, the distribution law of m is obtained as follows:

1:67 1/ 1296

2:4 1/ 144

3: 175/ 1296

4:65/ 1296

5:5/432

6: 1/ 1296

Then calculate the expected e (m) of m = 1+979/ 1296.

E (a) = [e (w)+e (x)+e (y)+e (z)-e (m)]/3 = 4+317/3888.

2)

//Slight solution

The idea is the same. Remember that the six dice are U, V, W, X, Y, Z and N, which are the smallest three.

Sum of numbers, the result is B=(U+V+W+X+Y+Z-N)/3, which is a random number. Let's find its expectations.

For any given set of values of u, v, w, x, y and z, the following six random numbers are constructed.

M 1: choose four from these six numbers and take the minimum value; N 1: add all the M 1 thus obtained (do not take it repeatedly).

M2: Choose five of these six numbers, and take the minimum value; N2: Add up all M2 thus obtained (do not repeat).

M3: Choose six of these six numbers, and take the minimum value; N3: Add up all the M3s thus obtained (don't repeat them).

There are two points here:

I) m1* * has c (6,4) =15, M2*** has c (6,5) = 6, M3*** has c (6,6) =1.

Although each M 1 is not necessarily independent, the expectation of sum is still equal to the expectation sum.

So e (n1) =15e (m1), e (N2) = 6e (m2), e (n3) = e (m3).

Ii) We assume that the given six random numbers increase from u to z in turn, and now calculate that they are in N 1, N2 and N3.

How many times have each number been added? (Introduction)

xx U V W X Y Z

N 1 10 4 1 0 0 0

N2 5 1 0 0 0

N3 1 0 0 0 0

Then construct a random number: N=N 1-3*N2+6N3 (the coefficient is determined by the undetermined coefficient method).

So in n, these six numbers appear as follows:

N 1 1 1 0 0 0

In other words, n is the sum of the smallest three numbers.

Therefore, e (b) = [e (u)+e (v)+e (w)+e (x)+e (y)+e (z)-e (n)]/3 = [e (u)+e (v)+e (w)+e.

(X)+E(Y)+E(Z)-E(n 1)+3E(N2)-6E(N3)]/3............*

e(n 1)= 15E(m 1)= 15 *( 1+979/ 1296)

In addition, according to the method of 1, the distribution function, distribution law and expectation of M2 and M3 can be obtained respectively.

Now only the distribution law of m and the expectation of n are simply given.

M2:

1:465 1/7776

2:2 10 1/7776

3:78 1/7776

4:2 1 1/7776

5:3 1/7776

6: 1/7776

E(N2)=6E(M2)=32 106/7776

M3:

1:3 103 1/46656

2: 1 1529/46656

3:3367/46656

4:664/46656

5:63/46656

6: 1/46656

N3 = M3 = 67 17 1/46656

Bringing the value into the formula *, the expected value of b is 22 1986/46656.

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