National football qualifying situation
First of all, we need to analyze the qualifying situation of the national football team in the World Cup qualifiers. At present, the Asian regional qualifiers where the national football team is located have been held for six rounds, with a total of 40 teams participating. According to the ranking, the top 12 teams will enter the next round of competition and compete for five places that directly advance to the World Cup. Teams ranked 13 to 32 will enter the play-offs to compete for the other two promotion places.
At present, the country is enough 10 to rank third. The top two Iran and Japan scored 14 and 13 respectively. Because Iran and Japan are very strong, if the national football team wants to advance to the World Cup directly, it must remain unbeaten in the remaining four rounds and win as many games as possible. At the same time, we should try our best to prevent other competitors from surpassing themselves and competing for places in the play-offs.
Opponent strength analysis
In addition to its own performance, the probability of the national football team advancing to the World Cup is also affected by the strength of its opponents. At present, the main competitors of the national football team are South Korea, Australia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and other teams. These teams are relatively strong, and the national football team must go all out to stand out from the competition.
South Korea is a strong team in Asian football, with strong strength. At present, South Korea ranks second with a score of 14, only one point more than Iran. South Korea has entered the quarterfinals many times in the past World Cup, and its strength cannot be underestimated.
Australia is a new force in Asian football, but it is also very strong. Australia has achieved good results in the past two World Cups, and entered the top 16 and top 32. Australia is currently ranked fourth with 9 points.
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates did not perform well in the past World Cup matches, but their strength should not be underestimated. At present, Saudi Arabia ranks fifth with 9 points and the United Arab Emirates ranks sixth with 6 points.
Probability of the national football team advancing to the World Cup
Based on the above analysis, the probability that the national football team will advance to the World Cup is not high. Although the national football team ranks third, compared with the top two countries, Iran and Japan, there is a big gap in points. At the same time, the competitors of the national football team are also very strong and need to go all out to stand out.
Therefore, according to the current situation analysis, the probability that the national football team will advance to the World Cup is about 30%. Of course, the national football team still has four rounds of competition. If you can go all out and win more victories, you may also increase your chances of promotion.