Is the probability of card drawing in hearthstone legend really random?

The answer is yes, it is indeed random.

In fact, when I first saw the topic, I thought it was the probability of opening a card package and drawing a card to make a legend-it was a pseudo-random algorithm.

But after seeing the pattern on the screen, I understood the problem.

I can tell you clearly that the game lottery is really a completely random algorithm.

The so-called complete randomness is also the theory of probability repetition. He is a lottery behavior similar to drawing a ball. There are thirty black balls from 1 to 30. Every time you draw one, he will change the total number of samples and then randomize it again. From one thirtieth to one third of the will.

However, some people will respond, but after he chooses a card, he will draw the card in front with his hand.

This question has to mention the word survivor bias.

A simple example of the so-called survivor bias is that reading is useless.

Nowadays, many people are saying that whoever didn't go to school well at the beginning still earns a lot of money, and many people who study hard are not as good as those who don't study hard after graduation. And because there are many such examples, many people come to the conclusion that "going to school is useless" and "reading is useless".

In fact, according to the official caliber of the sixth national census in 20 10, it can be calculated that the population with college education or above only accounts for about 8.7% of the total population. It can be seen that there are many people with low academic qualifications than those with high academic qualifications, so even if the success rate of people with low academic qualifications is much lower than that of people with high academic qualifications, a large number of people with low academic qualifications will still succeed.

For people with high academic qualifications, ordinary people will pay attention to successful people and unsuccessful people, especially those with high academic qualifications who are down and out, and are easily regarded as news reports; For people with low academic qualifications, ordinary people often only pay attention to the successful people, while ignoring the unsuccessful people with low academic qualifications. It is precisely because of ignoring these "silent data" that the wrong conclusion of "reading is useless" is produced.

The hearthstone card is like this. In fact, many people think that there will be repeated card drawing because it is a very common thing in probability. But normal people will doubt the probability of drawing cards, because this situation gives you a sense of sight, affects your judgment and takes it for granted.

There are many safety accidents in the world, so as long as you drive, something will happen. Is there a necessary connection between the two?

No, this is just a harmless association.

After all, hearthstone legend, as a face-turning game, is really ...

I'll share a joke with you, and you'll understand after reading it:

What happened? Jaina. Is that all you can do? "Anduin looked at Jaina jokingly." I didn't expect the strongest mage in the past to be so vulnerable. "

Jaina didn't say a word, just staring at the domineering prince of Stormwind.

"What do you mean by that kind of expression? Do you think you still have a chance to beat me? " Anduin let out a sneer. "You'd better look at the present form first. You only have 1 health, and you don't even have a hand. On the other hand, I have not only 30 health points here, but also the mystery I stole from you with my mind vision. I can tell you, this is an ice barrier, and you have no chance of winning. At my scene, there are Paletres, the silver god official, Kel 'Thuzad and Malganis summoned by her, antonidas, your beloved teacher brought by mind control, a graceful sun walker, and my professional orange Kavilun. I have the fireball and the second mind control that Anthony gave me. You have absolutely no chance to win! Give up, you want to hit me, it is still early! "

"Anduin ..." Jaina's arcane energy keeps surging and churning, and the energy collides with her body and nerves. She was very angry.

Anduin also felt Jaina's abnormality and looked at her warily. "Why, don't give up?"

"Andy, this is what you believe in light? ! "Jaina's voice is as cold as ice, and there is a murderous look inside.

Anduin was stunned by Jaina's momentum, or he never thought about it, so he was speechless at the moment.

Jaina doesn't seem to get any answers from him, just like talking to herself. She continued, "I once had contact with the paladins of the Knights of the Silver Hand. I asked them what light you believe in. They told me that the holy light is a spirit. A spirit of being willing to sacrifice one's companions, a spirit of treating everyone in the world equally, and a spirit of being full of sympathy and gratitude for everything. Spying into other people's thoughts and manipulating other people's thoughts is definitely not a real light! "

Jaina talked about excitement, and the arcane energy in her body could no longer be suppressed. They are like rivers and streams that have found the place where the dam broke, and they are madly pouring out of Jaina's body. Jaina's long silver hair was almost turned upside down by this energy, and she was very angry.

Anduin stepped back in fear. He had never thought about the consequences of provoking such a mage before. But then he calmed down again. "Hum, Jaina. I can tell you that all my actions are correct, and these are not dirty. For these ignorant people, it is their honor to believe in light. Only through me can they know what real light is! Only I am the guide of light! " Realizing that he was too excited, Anduin changed his tone. "I'm not here to listen to your sermon. Let the game continue. It's your turn. "

"This is what you asked for ..." Jaina tried her best to calm down the violent energy in her body and return to the competition. Although the scene is very unfavorable to her, she still has no idea of giving up; Even if the odds are less than one in ten million, she will not choose to give up. This is not only a mage's insistence, but also a mourning for a person who once dedicated himself to the light.

"I call a yoga salon."

"what!" Andy was so flustered that he pinched the cards in his hand into a ball, but the chaotic magic power had prompted him.

"First of all, you will be betrayed by the devil." Mal Ganis hit the silver god officer and Kel 'Thuzad beside him.

"Of course, the devil himself will die because of the contract." Mar Ganis died under the influence of the sacrifice contract.

"Then let my mentor rest in peace." Anthony was buried with a look of relief.

"This stupid cow is easy to manipulate even if it is elegant." The scorching sun walker was under mental control.

"Let the tramp go home." Jiang Ning unknown so's was recycled.

"You are the only one left." Jaina stared at Anduin with cold eyes, and Anduin grabbed the ice barrier on his head and shouted attentively.

"You ... you can't crack this."

"Really?" The flare rose slowly, and generate's desperate face shone at that moment.

"Next is my specialty" Jaina giggled.

Ice sword, frost spear, fireball, torch and dragon's breath, a series of spells made Anduin enjoy the pleasure of ice and fire for five days.

"Ah!" Anduin couldn't help but let out a dying cry, but the spell was not over yet.

"My magic will tear you to pieces." With 10 remaining, Anduin stared blankly at Jaina, and a huge fireball quickly approached on the horizon.

Finally ..... the inflammatory bullet hit Jaina in the face, ending the game.