Discussion on the possibility of China Jinhua winning the Australian Open women's singles championship from the perspective of probability theory?

Conditional probability problem

1. Li Nasheng Serena Zheng Jiesheng Haining 0.2*0.3

2. Li Nasheng Serena Zheng Jie negative Haining Li Nasheng Haining 0.2*0.7*0.3.

3. Li Na loses Serena and Zheng Jiesheng Haining and Zheng Jiesheng Serena is 0.8*0.3*0.2.

Add them together.

0.2*0.3+0.2*0.7*0.3+0.8*0.3*0.2=0。 15