Group A qualifying analysis-Puzzle gave birth to the possibility of the first penalty shootout in the group stage in history.
Group B qualifying analysis-Germany qualified after a draw, and the answer will not be revealed until the last game.
At present, the Netherlands has scored 6 points in two wars and has won the first place in the group. Among the other three teams, Romania is the best. The result of two draws puts them in the second place temporarily, and the penultimate opponent is the Netherlands, which has already qualified.
First, if Romania beats the Netherlands, they will join hands to qualify, and France and Italy will be eliminated regardless of the outcome of the game.
2. If Romania draws with Holland, their points will be only 3 points. Romania can only qualify if France and Italy draw. Whoever wins the match between France and Italy is eligible to participate.
Third, if Romania loses the game, there will be two situations.
1, France and Italy will win, so whoever wins will qualify.
2. If France and Italy draw, the three teams will score two points each with the same record and goal difference, and compare the number of goals scored among the three teams. At present, the number of goals scored by the three teams is Romania and Italy 1, and France is 0. No matter what score Italy and France score, France will go out directly because of the goal disadvantage.
A As long as there is a draw of 1- 1 or more between Italy and France, Italy will qualify.
B, if Italy and France score 0-0, then Romania and Italy have exactly the same data in the short period of the three teams, and the goal difference will be compared with the number of goals ranked first in the group.
A. If Romania loses 1 or 2 goals, Romania will qualify directly with the goal difference advantage.
B. If Romania concedes more than 4 goals, Italy will qualify with the goal difference advantage.
C. If Romania just concedes three goals, it will be divided into two situations: First, if Romania concedes three goals and the score exceeds 1-4, then they will force Italy to qualify with the goal advantage; The second is 0-3, so the goal difference and the number of goals scored by Italy and Romania in the group match are the same. According to the rules, Italy is better than Italy and Romania in the 2006 World Cup qualifiers and the 2008 European Cup qualifiers (except for the total score).
To sum up, apart from the Netherlands, Romania is the best, followed by Italy and France is the most dangerous. In any case, the final round is full of variables, and the suspense of the last qualifying place in Group C can only be revealed at the end of the group stage.
Attachment: the promotion rules of teams with the same points in the group stage of the final stage of the European Championship.
Rule 1:
1: Compare the total points obtained by teams with the same points in each other's competitions.
2. Compare the goal difference between teams with the same points.
3. Compare the number of goals scored by teams with the same points (if two or more teams have the same points).
4. Goal difference in group match
5: Number of goals scored in the group stage
6. Coefficient of 2006 World Cup qualifiers and 2008 European Cup qualifiers: total points/number of matches.
7. Fair competition performance in the final stage of the European Cup
8: Draw lots
Rule number two:
If the final round of the group stage is played between two teams with the same points, goal difference and goals, and these data are still the same after the game, then the two teams will decide the qualifying team by punishing each other. For other cases, refer to the rule 1.
(Ben)