In the final round of Champions League Group H, which teams have the best chance to advance?

Manchester United suffered a heavy blow in the Champions League. At present, the Red Devils have reached the last stop. They have the same points as Paris Saint-Germain and Red Bull Leipzig, and the qualifying places will be announced in the final round.

This season, Manchester United has a brilliant performance in the Champions League. They beat Paris 2-/Kloc-0-0 away, and then swept Leipzig, which reached the semi-finals of the Champions League last season, 5-0 at Old Trafford. Although lost to Istanbul, Turkey, after defeating Paris and revenging for Turkey, Manchester United's promotion road looks bright.

But the reality is not so simple. Neymar scored twice in this game, and La Herford equalized the score in the first half. The turning point of the game came when Mashal missed an excellent opportunity and Fred was sent off with two yellow cards.

As a result, only Istanbul in the Champions League Group H was eliminated in advance. The last round lost to Leipzig 3-4 and missed the qualifying. Greater Paris, Leipzig and Manchester United add up to 9 points, and the final round of two games at Prince Park Stadium and Red Bull Stadium will decide which two teams will qualify.

If Manchester United win, they will lock in the promotion quota, but football has never been so simple, and the situation may become a mathematical problem. Manchester United fans should be familiar with this situation. Before the last league match against leicester city in the 20 19-20 season, the battle for four games is also very complicated.

It is the simplest to explain the final ranking with a chart. An enthusiastic fan posted a picture on social media to explain the possibility of the emergence of the H group.

Before the author goes to the picture above, let's get familiar with the rules of playing in the Champions League group stage if the two teams have the same points.

1. The number of points between two teams;

2. The goal difference between the two teams;

3. The number of goals scored by the two teams;

There is a great difference in the number of goals scored by the two teams.

Next, let's take a look at the group qualifying situation map summarized by the fans. One of the results will correspond to 12 cases.

As shown in the above picture, if Manchester United beat or draw Leipzig, they will advance to the Champions League 16; If they lose, they can only play the Europa League, even if Istanbul wins unexpectedly in Paris.

From this situation, we can see that Neymar's second goal in stoppage time at Old Trafford may have a very important impact, especially in the qualifiers in Paris. This means that the victory in Paris away from home is more convincing for Manchester United than the defeat in the first leg, which gives them the advantage of goal difference in the confrontation between the two teams.

Although it is unlikely that Istanbul will beat Paris, if Leipzig can lead the Red Devils at the beginning of the game, then Tuchel's team will basically not have to worry about their qualifying situation.

In addition, visiting Germany is not an easy task for Manchester United. Solskjaer's future may depend on whether they can avoid losing and play in the Europa League.