A typical example of the one-third effect

Lottery is a typical example. Although everyone thinks that the "winning rate" of each ticket is similar, there will be a little conflict between the first ticket and the last one, and it is always felt that it is impossible to be so coincidental, so both tickets must lag behind the last one and the first one. Therefore, in the absence of special tips, most people think that the "winning rate" of drawing a card from the middle is greater.

There was a closing ceremony of the college student film festival, and everyone wanted to go, but there were only two tickets in the class, so many people had to draw lots. The monitor lined up the signs for everyone to draw lots. To be fair, she asked her classmates to draw lots first, and left herself a Zhang Cai. Everyone took the tickets one by one, and they were all blank. In the end, only the first one and the last one are left, both of which are written with the word "you". Monitor, die-hard fan, the penultimate classmate got the ticket as he wished. The monitor didn't cheat on purpose. But it uses a little psychological tactics. Although everyone was quite dissatisfied afterwards, they all studied psychology. There is nothing to say when I see that the monitor can learn and use so flexibly.

The psychological tactics used by the squad leader are psychologically called "one-third effect". Take the lottery as an example. Although everyone thinks that the "winning rate" of each ticket is similar, there will be some contradiction between the first ticket and the last one. They always thought it was impossible to be so coincidental, and the two tickets just fell at the end and the front! Therefore, in the absence of special tips, most people think that the "winning rate" of drawing a card from the middle is greater, and everyone's psychology is just used by the monitor. In the multiple-choice questions of the exam, the "one-third effect" also acts on it. Many people think that the answers to the four multiple-choice questions will not appear sooner or later, so more people choose B or C, while fewer people choose A and D..