The Dutch team got off to a bad start, losing the first two games in the group stage and scoring 0 points. How can the Dutch team not die after losing two games in a row?
After two rounds of the group stage, the orange legion still retains its last breath. Theoretically, they still have the possibility of qualifying, but the probability is very small. The most important thing is that the Dutch team can't control its own destiny. In the final battle, they will go all out to win the Portuguese team, but it also depends on the face of the German team.
It is as difficult for Holland to qualify as Germany not to qualify.
In Group B, after two rounds of war, Germany ranked first with six points, while Portugal, like Denmark, scored 1 win and 1 negative three points. However, due to the winning and losing advantages, it ranked second for the time being. The Dutch team, which lost both wars, came in last. Judging from the current situation, Germany's qualifying is almost a foregone conclusion, and the second qualifying quota will basically be produced between Portugal and Denmark. But in theory, Germany still has the possibility of falling short at the last minute, while the Netherlands has a glimmer of hope to come back to life.
According to the rules formulated by UEFA, if there are teams with the same points in the European Cup group stage, they will compare the winning and losing relationship, goal difference, number of goals, goal difference, number of goals in the group stage, UEFA ranking and fair competition performance in turn. If this is inseparable, there will only be a lottery. The reason why Germany can't qualify is because both Denmark and Portugal have the possibility of 2 wins 1 negative product of 6 points, which can surpass Germany in goal difference. If the third round of the group stage goes to the other extreme, Germany wins 9 out of 3 games, while Denmark, Portugal and the Netherlands are all 1, 2 losses and 3 points, and the Dutch team may turn over. However, the probability of the Dutch team qualifying is basically as low as that of the German team not qualifying.
The Dutch win two goals depends on Germany's face.
At present, the goal difference of Denmark and Portugal is 0, but the number of goals scored is more than that of the Netherlands. The latter's only hope is to beat Portugal by more than two goals in the last game. 1: 0 is obviously not enough. Regardless of the result of the match between Germany and Denmark, compared with Portugal, the Netherlands has lost in the number of goals. On the premise of beating Portugal with two goals, as long as Germany beats Denmark, the Dutch team can come back to life. The final comparison will be that the Dutch team's goal difference is 0, and Denmark and Portugal are both negative.
Germany holds the fate of Group B, but the Dutch team need not worry that Loew will deliberately release water. The German team has no such tradition. Judging from the strength comparison and team status, although the Danish team can not be underestimated, the chances of winning the German team will be greater after all. The key is whether the Netherlands can beat Portugal by more than two goals. Judging from the performance of each team in the two rounds of group matches that have ended, it is very difficult. Therefore, the final contest of the death group is more concerned.
The qualifying situation of Group B is a complicated math problem.
Germany's qualifying conditions
1. Win or draw Denmark, with 9 points or 7 points, ranking first in the group;
2. Lost to Denmark, while Portugal failed to beat the Netherlands, and the German group was second;
3. Losing a goal to Denmark, but the score is more than 3: 4, can also ensure qualifying.
Portugal's qualifying conditions
1. Take the Netherlands, as long as Denmark's score against Germany does not exceed 4: 3, it will qualify;
2. draw with the Netherlands, as long as Denmark can't win Germany, it will qualify;
Denmark can only qualify if it concedes a goal in Holland.
Denmark's qualifying conditions
1. Winning two goals in Germany can ensure qualifying;
2. Winning a goal in Germany but the score exceeds 4: 3 can ensure qualifying;
3. If a goal beats Germany but fails to score a big score, Portugal will qualify invincible;
4. With a draw with Germany, Portugal can only qualify if it loses.
Dutch team qualifying conditions
Only by winning Portugal with two or more goals and Denmark losing to Germany can we qualify.