What are the chances of winning new shares?

Winning skill 1: place an order between 1:30-2:00 pm. Yao Xin people often say that the subscription time has a certain relationship with the winning rate. In fact, due to the randomness of computer lottery, the winning numbers are generally evenly distributed, but in terms of probability, when the numbers are in the middle area, the chances of winning the lottery are the greatest. If you want to be the subscription number of the middle area, you must seize the trend of most investors, especially large institutional investors, to place orders. As far as the past situation is concerned, afternoon is the peak period for institutional investors to place orders. If you want to make a subscription number in the middle area, it is more appropriate to place an order between 1:30-2:00 pm. Winning skill 2: avoid small stocks, avoid heat and get cold. Since the beginning of this year, there are often 5~6 new shares issued at the same time. For retail investors, it is the first choice to concentrate funds and ensure the winning rate. First, avoid the first share and concentrate on the second share. When the scale of funds raised online is similar, the initial shares are often hot, with more funds gathered and lower winning rate; The funds gathered by late-comer stocks are relatively small, and the winning rate is significantly higher than that of early-comer stocks. Second, avoid small-cap stocks and focus on large-cap stocks. Because of the large amount of funds, institutional investors can get the average winning rate in the market, so the standard of stock selection is the rate of return that new shares can get. Retail investors should stagger with institutional investors and concentrate on investing in new shares with large market and low industry P/E ratio. Generally speaking, the winning rate of large-cap stocks is higher than that of small-cap stocks, and the increase of small-cap stocks after listing is usually higher than that of large-cap stocks. Winning skills 3: retail investors should persevere in playing new shares. Although for retail investors with little funds, buying specific new shares has a great chance of winning the lottery. It seems that the income from playing new shares depends on luck, but in fact, in terms of probability, the chances of winning the lottery for retail investors and institutional investors are the same. The difference between retail investors and institutional investors lies in the large amount of funds of institutions, which can guarantee the rate of return close to the market average in each new share. For retail investors, there is great uncertainty, and the probability of winning the lottery may far exceed the average or be zero. However, if retail investors can persistently play new shares, don't give up easily because of several failures, and the income level can be close to the average level. If you are lucky, you may get excess returns. Winning Skill 4: Collecting enough funds can improve the winning rate. For different new shares, when the subscription funds reach a certain amount, the winning rate will be guaranteed. Taking ICBC as an example, the last two digits of 85, 35 and 16 ensure that there are at least three winning numbers in any continuous subscription number of 100. In this case, investors can subscribe for 1 0,000 numbers as long as the subscribed capital reaches RMB 301.2000 (ICBC's issue price per share is 3. 1.2 yuan), and the three winning numbers are guaranteed. Therefore, in the case of how to divide the income in advance, retail investors can also collect the funds of relatives and friends to play new shares together and obtain the average rate of return. The minimum subscription for new shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange is 1 1,000 shares, and the number exceeding 1 1,000 shares must be an integer multiple of 1 1,000 shares. For new shares issued in Shenzhen Stock Exchange, you have to subscribe for 500 shares to get a number. However, investors need to pay attention to the fact that as far as new shares are concerned, a securities account can only be subscribed once. For example, if you buy Industrial Bank, the purchase price is 15.98 yuan. If the investor has 155000 yuan in the securities fund account, he can buy 9 numbers. If he raises another 4,800 yuan, he can buy the number 10, and the chances of winning the lottery are higher.