Then the result of the four games is: the first game: B wins A; The second game: B wins C; The third game: B wins A; The fourth game: B wins C.
Then p (a) = (1-0.4) × 0.5 × (1-0.4) × 0.5 = 0.09,
(2) Let C win three games in a row as event B, and discuss it in two situations:
(1), if B wins A in the first game; Then the second game: C wins B; The third game: C wins A; The fourth game: C wins B.
Its probability p1= (1-0.4) × (1-0.5 )× 0.6 × (1-0.5),
(2) If A wins B in the first game; Then the second game: C wins A; The third game: C wins B; The fourth game: c wins a.
Its probability P2=0.4×0.6×( 1-0.5)×0.6,
Then p (b) = p1+p2 = (1-0.4 )× (1-0.5 )× 0.6× (1-0.5)+0.4× 0.6× (/kloc-)