Listen to the predictions of six famous football players (for the hottest topic)
Italy/Huang Jianxiang: blue blood thin.
A few World Cup qualifiers are enough for an old team with profound heritage and traditions like Italy, especially after Lippi returned to coach. The main problem in Italy now is that both Totti and Nesta have retired, especially Totti. Lippi wants to continue to use the system of the 2006 World Cup, but he can't find the right person. In this World Cup, he can only adjust while playing.
Italy did encounter some troubles in the previous games, and Lippi had to push Pirlo to the front waist position, instead of making the whole team work. In fact, when discussing "the best player in the World Cup" after the 2006 World Cup, Pirlo's voice was very high. According to several statistics of FIFA, Pirlo is really excellent, but he regrets that he is not a scorer. After Totti retired, Lippi changed the combination of "Totti (front waist)+Pirlo (back waist)" to "Pirlo+Derossi" in 2006. Derossi's skill is not as good as Pirlo's, and his overall situation awareness and field awareness are also weak. If the "brain" of the "operational command" is moved to the position of the lower back, it will not work. Derossi can only be regarded as a midfielder killer. However, Pirlo is old, and the front waist is where he is kicked. I'm afraid he can't bear it at his present age and body.
Italy has stability, after all, the tactical style, players and coaches are the same as those used three years ago. This is not to say that Lippi is a conservative. He can push Pirlo's position in the national team to the front, which shows that he still dares to try. A successful star like Pirlo himself won't change his position rashly. He definitely needs the coach to persuade the players to make a change as a whole.
Italy's current problem may also lie in this "integrity". Their tradition of playing football has always been to put the whole first. The past practical experience of coaches such as Capello, Donadoni and Lippi shows that football can restrain the development of superstars through the use of team skills and tactics. It is not easy to bring stars like Cristiano Ronaldo and Kaka to break through Italy.
Emphasizing tactics means emphasizing the whole. Italy's first-class echelon players all started in their teens, and their tactics are to fight for the collective. Italy won't produce individual cyclists like Cristiano Ronaldo and quaresma, so why is Cassano an alternative? Lippi doesn't want to recruit him to the national team. This overall tactical system can achieve good results in a period of time, but it is easy to cause defects in talent training in China. Understanding Lippi from this perspective, it is difficult for him to completely replace the team in 2006. First, there is a gap in talents, and there are not enough dazzling players to realize the cycle of "the waves behind the Yangtze River push the waves before". Lack of fresh blood.
However, there is no "fresh blood" for Lippi to use. Without Mr.Right like Messi, Ronaldo and Kaka, people feel that technical ability is indispensable and can bring tactical changes. Lippi can only rely on a patchwork combination, but this combination is three years older than in 2006. Some changes are patchwork substitutions. Old people, injured people and retired people should be replaced, not by the undisputed force of new people. Only chiellini, whose central defender was injured, passed the training of last year's European Cup and the club. He is the new face of this Italian team and has risen to the top with his personal strength.
Lippi said that he has a good idea about 15 or 16 players in the South African World Cup squad, and he must add 6 or 7 players. These fifteen or sixteen players are his main force. In addition to the starting 1 1 players, there are also main substitutes, and the rest are patch backups. In this case, Lippi will choose players who are healthy and can play in multiple positions, especially the versatile center and backcourt. Their average age must be less than the average age of fifteen or sixteen determined by Lippi.
This Italian team, I expect that if they can make it to the top eight in South Africa, Lippi will give an account to the country even if they complete the task. Whether there can be another breakthrough depends on how their competition experience and maturity are brought into play. Italy is a knockout team. They may stumble and lose to some middle and lower reaches teams in the group stage, but in the knockout stage, Italy's concept of "playing for not losing" can be clearly reflected, at least it is difficult for opponents to beat Italy within 90 minutes. Considering the penalty in 2006, Italy and Buffon, so if this team has the most worthy people in 2006, I will choose Buffon.
England/Su Dong: Everything is for Capello.
It is nonsense to make any prediction about the World Cup in South Africa now, but when it comes to the real strength of a team, we can still find some clues. England lost 0- 1 to Brazil. Many British fans think this is the second team. It is not shameful to lose to the world champion with the strength of these people. But I think if the English are lucky enough to reach the semi-finals or finals, these people in Doha may actually appear in the finals.
I have always had a view that the league is like a marathon and the cup is like 800 meters. Marathon requires the highest endurance, while the 800-meter marathon requires speed, endurance and tactics, which are indispensable. A game like the World Cup will not only have many games, but also have a great influence on the competitive psychology of players. England has finished the preliminaries, and now it is the stage of sharpening the knife. However, constant injuries make it almost impossible for Capello to form a South African squad in his mind.
We do some player tracking. James hasn't started in eight games. Although he participated in the game against Ukraine, he still had to rest for two days after each game because of a shoulder injury. Will the 39-year-old veteran stick to South Africa's "rest rules" or become another sailor? Rio Ferdinand played only four games in 2009 1 1. His leg muscle injury just turned around and his back was injured. These are old injuries. Who can guarantee that South Africa's month-long hectic schedule will not make Rio relapse again? Walcott dislocated his shoulder before playing Germany on June 5438+0 1 and had only two games' experience. The young winger has high hopes for English fans, but now he needs more games, not for the club, but for the national team. Hejsky looks powerful, but it's actually worrying. Before the game against Belarus, he played five of the six games, but before that, he missed four games because of injury. Gerrard won't let people down. As long as he is on the court, he will always give people confidence and hope for victory. Just don't be scarred for Liverpool's "small family" honor before next year's South Africa competition, which will lead to the loss of hope for "everyone".
The level and quality of the national team are closely related to the level of the national league, but at the same time, we should also see the composition of the players in the league. Every time we meet the top four in the Premier League, we don't see too many local English players on the pitch. On the contrary, Villa is called "England Training Ground". Among the 6 1 1 professional players registered in the Premier League, there are only 232 local players, which can explain the problems of the English national team itself. However, it should also be noted that O 'Neill has arrived in Villa. Of the 28 players he signed, 20 were local players. However, no one can guarantee the starting position except Barry, Agbonlaho, ashley young and others.
Seeing other teams enter the World Cup in South Africa, each team will become England's most powerful opponent. In just one month, if you want to enter the finals, you must play seven games. If we want to ensure that there are no casualties under great pressure, we can only try our best to reduce the casualties. From their own style of play, English players are more likely to get injured than Spain, Brazil, Argentina and other teams. It is estimated that many people still remember 1996 European Cup final in Germany. In South Africa, it is not excluded that England will have the same pain. In addition, it is their stadium discipline. There is a certain difference between the penalty scale of the Premier League and the control scale of the World Cup. If this measure is not handled well, it will be their biggest enemy. Beckham's revenge on Simone and Rooney's trampling on Carvalho all started from this, which also made England pay a huge price.
I always think that the luckiest thing about England is that they have Capello. This gentleman has been through the battlefield, achieved outstanding results, and knows how to use people. It was under his leadership that Shuangde finally began to have a chemical reaction, and the resolute reuse of Hejsky on the front line also showed his fine-tuning ability to the team and players. Needless to say, his game concept is similar to China's "When the enemy is tired, I will fight", provided that the defense and the lower back must be rock solid. I believe what Capello wants to see most now is that Hargreaves can recover quickly and get into the best condition. If we can form a "Gerrard-Barry-Hargreaves-Lampard" midfield line, it can rival almost any team.
If Capello's main line-up is not badly injured, maybe England will go further. If some players return home early, only God knows how far those bench players, that is, Doha's lineup, can go.
Argentine/Liu Jianhong: The Hidden Tragedy.
This is a country that can be crazy about football. This is also a country where football talents emerge in endlessly. This is a country that often loses its reason and unity because of football.
Rebellious players and stubborn coaches have almost become symbols of Argentine football. You can't simply blame the players or coaches, they all have their own good reasons. But you can't accept this chaotic situation. What is particularly intolerable is that under the background of bright stars, Argentine football is struggling on the road to South Africa. It was only at the last minute that I got through the difficulties with the help of an invisible God.
Therefore, when diego maradona took over as the head coach of Argentina, although there were doubts from outside, his Jianghu status ensured the temporary peace of Argentine football. Even though this peace was short-lived, it still left a little breathing space for Argentine football.
When diego maradona's mythical position began to be challenged and Argentine football went from bad to worse, the accumulated capital in front made them catch the tail of fate at the last moment.
People who doubt or criticize diego maradona don't need much evidence at all. Diego maradona can't be an excellent coach. His character is angular, and it is hard to see who can get the upper hand from his advantages and disadvantages. He is the most interesting protagonist in his life, but he can't be the commander-in-chief of the battlefield.
But I thought that diego maradona was invited by the Argentine Football Association, and I didn't intend to take him as the head coach at all. He is the lucky star of Argentine football, and he is the amulet of Argentine football. With him, Argentine football can always find a fulcrum, which is better than falling into endless arguments and noises.
Another reason for Argentina's thrilling promotion is the country's football tradition. Even if the old Veron is no longer brave, Palermo's crazy temperament is inferior. But Argentina is Argentina. They can put Aguero and Tevez on the bench, or let Higuain enter the team at the last minute. They can ignore Samuel and Zanetti's stable performance at Inter Milan, or they can suddenly use domestic grassroots players and rely on big names coming back from Europe. However, when disaster approaches, the mysterious temperament attached to this country will become a barrier. Even a little-known pawn can make the team go ashore instantly. The so-called temperament, in the final analysis, is determined by strength.
This is Argentine football. Chaos, contradiction, fanaticism to madness, paranoia to extremes, sometimes fragile, sometimes invincible.
They never lack excellent players, nor do they lack excellent coaches as the outside world imagines. Belsa's success in Chile not only helped the motherland football at the crucial moment, but also defended the reputation of Argentine football coach. But the problem is that once caught in the reality of Argentine football, both Belsa and Diego Maradona seem to lose their magic, but for different lengths of time.
The qualifiers are in shock and the World Cup is just around the corner. It is not easy to break through from South America, and it is even harder to become famous in the World Cup.
Spain is in its heyday, and Brazil is gradually taking shape under the leadership of Dunga. Even if Italy is troubled by the veteran problem, it will always be an opponent that can't be ignored, including England of Capello, France with stars, and Germany, which can always play an extraordinary role in the game. These teams will definitely give Argentina a headache.
Even those little players may bring trouble to Argentina. Historically, Argentina lost not only to China in the Nehru Cup, but also to Cameroon and Denmark in the World Cup.
In other words, if we can't solve many off-court problems before next year's World Cup, pessimistically speaking, Argentine football will not last. More pessimistic, the prospect of solving the problem looks even bleaker. This is the key to Argentina's tragedy.
Spanish/He Wei: Aesthetics only lacks secrets.
Spain has qualified again.
Spain once again qualified perfectly.
Of the 53 teams that participated in the qualifiers in Europe, only two teams won the championship, one from Spain and the other from the Netherlands. These are two hopeless perfectionists.
Spain's statistics are so beautiful that opponents are desperate. In the group match, they won 10, scored 28 goals and conceded 5 goals, which was the strongest attack among the 53 teams in Europe. The number of goals conceded is only higher than that of the Netherlands, and it is tied for second place with the German team. Both offense and defense look excellent, very beautiful.
Judging from the progress of the group stage, Bosco followed aragones's strategy of winning the European Cup after taking office, mastered the game with excellent team control style, and basically abandoned the traditional tactics that Spanish winger Qi Fei only broke through by the side of the road, killing the opponent's fighting spirit in the ball control system of four or two thousand pounds, and then scoring by the striker with strong opportunities and cooperation ability on the front line.
This system is achieved through a strong midfield line. Among the midfielders, Barcelona and Valencia players are the core. Harvey and Iniesta's dual-core tactics have proved to be extremely effective in Barcelona, and they are both long and short, rich in breakthrough ways and creative, and become the source of the team's offensive power. Coupled with other excellent players, such as Fabregas, Silva, Alonso, such as cazorla and Senna, the changes and thickness of the midfield system are very enviable.
On the striker line, Villa and Torres are the absolute main force. In addition, it is commendable that Bosco is more accommodating than the coach while retaining the core of aragones's offense. He also recruited llorente, a high center of Athletic Bilbao, into the team. Lorant's presence has made the Spanish national team more domineering and unreasonable toughness in the style of attack group besides quickness and dexterity. You know, in a major game like the World Cup, such toughness will be an indispensable "secret weapon". The World Cup is different from the European Cup. The teams in the European Cup are all from Europe. In addition to poor strength, there is actually no unexpected difference in tactical play. Teams participating in the World Cup come from all corners of the country, and some national teams outside Europe may not adapt. When delicate and dexterous problems cannot be solved, strong impact may become the last resort. From this point of view, Bosco's team has extra solutions and manpower, which is more reassuring than in the European Cup.
Although the Spaniard is not good at defense, it is determined by the technical style of the national team, by the offensive and defensive focus of the whole team, not by individual defenders. Therefore, the current defensive general is already the best defender that Spanish football can have.
Of course, I have to say that casillas, a young man under 30, has been standing in front of the national team for nearly ten years. Since the 2002 World Cup, he has become the biggest source of confidence for the Spanish team. Every time he saves the team from dire straits, the turmoil in Real Madrid in recent years has also benefited the Spanish national team from another angle, that is, he has always kept the No.1 goalkeeper of the national team in a state of "actual combat" and let him again and again.
Don't forget Raul, the biggest headache in aragones last year. For him, the coach offended everyone. If he hadn't led the team to win the European Cup in the end, aragones would have been drowned by saliva. However, the success of aragones's gamble has basically blocked Raul's return to the national team, and Bosco will not risk Raul's entry into the national team, which has shaken the dressing room atmosphere that has matured slightly through a big competition. The former "golden boy" may watch the World Cup in front of the TV.
With such a team, Bosco has reason to covet the World Cup next year. However, Spain was not the most favored team in 2008, but it finally won the cup. On the contrary, the Dutch team, which is awesome in the group stage, did not even make it to the quarter-finals. The magic of football is everywhere. The United States beat Spain in the Confederations Cup without temper, not because of luck, but because we knew ourselves and ourselves. It is conceivable that in next year's World Cup, opponents all over the world will carefully study the advantages and disadvantages of Spain, just like the United States, and prescribe the right medicine. Under the gaze of countless eyes and the drills of countless sand tables, the Spanish team has no secrets or tricks.
This beautiful dancer wishes him all the best and a bumpy road ahead. Please be careful.
Germany/Meng Hongtao: It's not a problem to reach the quarterfinals.
When it comes to the German team, people always like to repeat Reinkel's classic sentence: "Football is a game of 1 1 people, but the Germans always win in the end." Admittedly, German football has never been low, nor has it never brought disappointment to people, but these details will never become the mainstream details that hinder Germany from achieving good results. Until now, perhaps the only thing that makes German fans dissatisfied is that they have never won the world championship since 1990.
There is a set of data that can explain Germany's position in world football. Although Germany won fewer championships than Brazil and Italy in the history of the World Cup, it was the team that won the runner-up and entered the semi-finals the most times. And they all reached the final stage in the 16 World Cup, and successfully entered the quarter-finals in the recent 14 World Cup. All these make the German team unique. It is based on this law that we can easily speculate that Germany has enough ability to enter the quarter-finals of the World Cup in South Africa, and this should be Germany's bottom line.
The decline of German football is a fact, but people are more willing to compare the current German football with its peak period with a perfectionist attitude, or more severely think that not winning the championship is failure. In fact, Germany's performance in two consecutive World Cups and the last European Cup was not too bad. Two consecutive World Cups, one runner-up and one third runner-up. Similarly, at last year's European Championship, they reached the final. These achievements are still not enough to meet the demanding German fans, but they are enough to prove the position of German football in the world football.
Indeed, German football lacks more internationally competitive stars, and German players no longer have the favorites like matthaeus and Klinsmann, but Germans always believe that team strength is the foundation of the team. Germany's nickname is "National Elf", which translates as "eleven members of the national team", from which we can see the German team's dependence on team strength. Therefore, regardless of pessimists, lamenting that German football is getting worse and worse, or the stars are dim and the reserves are insufficient, the German team, which has been relying on eleven players, is still standing. The results of recent World Cups have said it all.
Therefore, the German team is no longer a star-dominated German team, and individual players such as Ballack are not enough to support the German team's combat effectiveness. He can only rely on the efforts of players in all positions to turn mediocrity into magic. This was the case in the Klinsmann era, and so was the Loew era.
Compared with the Klinsmann period, Loew has fewer big names. One of his methods is to continue to tap the potential of players like Ballack and Klose, and the other is to constantly get inspiration and vitality from newcomers. Of course, compared with the Klinsmann period, the German team under Loew paid more attention to the balance between offensive and defensive, and the system was more rigorous. Although the offensive efficiency is not as high as that in Klinsmann's period, the style of play is sophisticated and steady when the average age drops.
As a new generation coach, Loew obviously knows more about the popular "mainland goods" in the world football, so he practiced two different formations, 442 and 423 1, in the preliminaries. Without a striker, he used a 4-4-2-3- 1 formation to strengthen his control of the midfield, and then he attacked with pressure. Therefore, although Gomez never entered the state and Klose missed the game due to injury, Ramstein's operation did not fall off the chain. In the European Cup, Germany's stranglehold on the midfield forced Spain, which is good at playing on the floor, to counterattack with a long pass, which actually showed the great power of Germany's excellent midfield steal and control.
However, for the current German team, the lack of top players like Ballack is an unavoidable problem. Such a lineup is not a problem to deal with qualifiers and world cup group matches. In the elimination stage, the role of star players will often influence the trend of the team. Because at this stage, it is very important to make sure that you don't make mistakes, and it is more important to catch the mistakes of your opponents. What do stars do? They just want to turn opportunities into goals. However, the current German team, not only the front line is weak, there is no substantial change, but also several big midfielders are too mediocre or the level is declining, which actually weakens the German team's further capital.
Therefore, next year's World Cup, the German team will not bring too many surprises, nor will it be too disappointing.
Brazil/Yan Xiaohua: Samba, a civilian, washed away the lead.
"A man has only one destiny", and Carlos Caetano Brendon Veri may be the best annotation of this classic line in The Godfather. When he was very young, his godfather Burundi nicknamed him Dunga. In Portuguese, "Dunga" means "an important person, leader and captain".
Later, the world only knew his name as Dunga. He is a natural leader. He was captain of any team he played for, including Brazil's national team, which was full of stars and thorns. This natural fate doomed his seamless connection from player to coach, and also doomed the strong Dunga color of this Brazilian team-rigorous, concise and effective, almost walking on the other side of the Brazilian football coin.
Therefore, in the first two years of taking over the Brazilian team, Dunga has been questioned and criticized. Everyone's criticism is focused on one point, that is, Dunga made the beautiful Brazilian football ugly. Yes, Dunga gave up "possession, dribbling and gorgeous attack" and replaced it with "defense, stability and counterattack", which is intolerable for Brazilian football that pursues "not only winning, but also winning beautifully". However, Dunga remained unmoved, which made him adhere to the will of "dictator" and actually achieved quite good results.
Until the game in Rosario on September 6, 2009, Dunga finally calmed the world down. At the home of Argentine football, Dunga dedicated a classic counter-insurgency and easily dismembered the passionate Pampas eagle. Dunga was the first Brazilian to leave Rosario so proudly. At that time, it suddenly occurred to people that in more than two years, in addition to "betrayal", Dunga brought Brazil an America's Cup, a Confederations Cup, an unbeaten world champion and tickets to South Africa. The world suddenly realized that defensive counterattack can not only bear the burden of humiliation, but also be emotional; It turns out that the rigid Dunga is very clumsy.
This war doomed Brazil's trip to South Africa to be a "betrayal" trip. After building the strongest defense in Brazil's history, Dunga can attack the world without hesitation or even thrilling, of course, because he has an invincible front waist named Kaka. After the half-time, Kaka said that his comprehensive ability of holding the ball in the middle was the second, and no one in the world dared to call him the first. His speed, vision and passing ability are all the products of Dunga's 43 12 tactics.
Now we should understand why Dunga didn't recruit Ronaldinho and why he didn't reuse Diego. It's not because Ronaldinho is in a bad state, not because Diego is incompetent, but because Dunga's tactics don't need a slow and magical catcher, and his attack always relies on high-speed counterattack. Therefore, Robinho, fabiano or Adriano, Pato or even Nima are not important in the front line. Brazil has never lacked killers in the restricted area. Everyone knows the scores of romario and Bei Beituo 1994.
However, Dunga knows better that the success of the betrayal trip will only last for 30 days next summer. If those 30 days are not successful, the beauty of the previous 1,001 nights will change from Zhu Shazhi to a touch of mosquito blood. Therefore, he has not been able to determine the main candidate for left-back. On his 43 12 tactical board, the most important link for Kaka to provide offensive materials comes from the left and right defenders. In fact, neither Santos nor Marcelo can satisfy Dunga. In the warm-up match against England, bastos gave people hope, but it was only a performance of one game. The most important word in Dunga's tactical dictionary is "stability". There are still half a year. Who will guarantee the stability of young bastos?
In fact, compared with the left-back, Brazil also has an X factor, that is, gilberto silva, the backbone of the back. Many people are curious about why Dunga chose a veteran who lived in the Greek League as the offensive and defensive hub, which is somewhat unavoidable. Why doesn't Dunga want to have a 1994 self in his team?
The trip to South Africa is bound to be Dunga's inheritance from his mentor Pereira, and it is the connection of 1994, which will carry out the "betrayal" to the end.