The first possibility is that Sun Yingsha successfully knocks down Ito, and "Minesweeping" wins. The probability of Chen Meng winning the championship is 70%.
Sasha and Ito were in the same area at the 20 19 World Championships and the 2020 World Cup respectively, and the "big-headed vine" was swept by Sasha. The two were once again in the same area at the Tokyo Olympic Games, and that "violent Sally" also collected the task of "mine clearance" in three competitions.
In the women's singles final, Chen Meng has an advantage in Pisa both psychologically and technically. Chen Mengruo successfully reached the women's singles final in the first half, and her opponent is probably teammate Sun Yingsha. Although Sasha is not very good at playing raw rubber recently, she has gone to Japan to practice. With the guidance of coaches such as Liu and Li Sun, the whole table tennis world will definitely help Sasha eliminate Ito in the second half, and then let Sasha face the final and win the women's singles gold medal early. Chen Meng played Sasha's psychological advantage against Yitengyou. First of all, "Shameng" had long been worried about the women's singles gold medal.
Chen Meng has recently sent "Violent Sally" for four consecutive defeats. After the long ball opened the way, she played backhand to prevent Sasha from playing forehand. This is also the winning trick that Marin gave to Chen Meng after discussing Violent Sally. Backhand is not built in a day. It is impossible to surpass Chen Meng's backhand skill in a month or two. After Sasha lost to Chen Meng in the women's singles final, I also said, "I have some gaps with her in backhand speed, strength and stability."
It is true that Chen Meng has been criticized for failing to pass the competition, but the pressure on Sasha in the final is far less than that on Ito. In this case, Sasha couldn't conquer Chen Meng in the first three boards, nor could she defeat Chen Meng in the backhand. If Chen Meng plays Sasha in the women's singles final of Tokyo Olympic Games, the probability of winning the championship will be above 70%.
The second possibility is that Sasha is eliminated by Ito, and Chen Meng will face a "big head" in the final, with a 60% chance of winning the championship.
Fans all hope that "Shameng" can enter the finals, but the competition is uncertain and risky. If Sasha can't win mine clearance, then if Chen Meng wants to win the women's singles championship, the task of "mine clearance" falls on Chen Meng.
It is the key for Chen Meng to beat Ito to win the championship to restrain slow fever and strengthen the attack of the first three boards. Chen Meng was able to win four consecutive victories in Ito before, all in confrontation. After the first three boards against Ito, Chen Meng's high-quality backhand will make Ito's batting error rate increase rapidly in the confrontation of more than six or seven boards. However, there is also a great risk in winning Ito, that is, it is easy to fall behind 0: 2 or 0: 3. Chen Meng has the disadvantage of slow fever. In the first set of 20 19 Swedish Open, Chen Meng beat her 9-2, and the single set was reversed by Ito.
In order not to pre-empt and fall into a passive situation of scores and points, Chen Meng must quickly enter the game state like Ito and Sasha, and can't wait until he has played two or three games to find his touch. Ito will fight bravely when the score is the first. Once the success rate of the battle is high, Chen Meng will be pushed to the edge of the cliff, with great psychological pressure, so that he will finally collapse again. Therefore, in order to knock down Ito, Chen Meng should refrain from slow heat and actively attack the first three boards, which is the key to Ito's victory.
Chen Meng simply got a good ticket for the final of the Tokyo Olympic Games. In such a good draw, whether Chen Meng can beat Sun Yingsha or Ito Mikei to win the championship will test her technical and psychological stability. Do you think Chen Meng has a good chance of winning the women's singles?